Benchmark · weekly · % of OI

Agricultural index-trader crowding

How concentrated are index-trader flows across corn, wheat and soybean futures?

Agricultural index-trader crowding tracks the CFTC Supplemental Commodity Index Trader (CIT) Net/OI for corn, wheat and soybean futures. CIT is the official published Index Trader cohort for selected agricultural contracts. The composite is the equal-weight mean and isolates the passive-investment leg of agricultural positioning from the Managed Money speculative leg on the individual contract pages.
Readingsweekly
Composite
13.7% of OI
13-week change
−4.2 pp
from 18.0
Strongest component
15.4% of OI
Soybeans · 2026-08-04
Weakest component
10.9% of OI
Wheat · 2026-08-04
Composite percentile
6th
of 1075 readings · since 2006-01-03
Agricultural index-trader crowding
Data through 4 August 2026
0.0010.020.030.040.050.060.03 Jan 200616 Feb 20101 Apr 20148 May 201821 Jun 20224 Aug 2026
Index-trader crowding
Corn
Wheat
Soybeans
Agricultural index-trader crowding: summary statistics (Max range)
SeriesFirstLatestMinMax
Index-trader crowding33.2413.7411.3636.27
Corn26.5414.929.1032.73
Wheat49.4210.866.5751.00
Soybeans23.7615.457.0732.16
Source
CFTC
Frequency
weekly
Data through
4 August 2026
Refreshed
04 Aug 2026
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How this is calculated

Formula
CIT Net/OI_i = (cit_positions_long_all − cit_positions_short_all) / open_interest_all × 100; composite = equal-weight mean

Commodity Index Trader (CIT) long and short positions from the CFTC Supplemental CIT report for corn, wheat and soybean futures on the CBOT. Net/OI is (cit long − cit short) / open interest × 100. The composite is the equal-weight mean of the three Net/OI series. This is the official Index Trader cohort, not the Disaggregated Other Reportables residual.

As of 4 August 2026, the latest reading is 13.74 % of OI. That is up 1.0 pp over the past year and below its long-run median of 20.69 % of OI.

How to read it

What a high or low reading means

A high reading means index-trader flows are heavily net long across all three contracts. The structural flow is pushing in one direction, which tends to reinforce the trend. A low or negative reading means index-trader net positions are flat or net short, which is unusual for a structurally long cohort and suggests a portfolio rebalance or a reallocation away from commodity indices.

Why the Supplemental CIT report

The Supplemental CIT report is the CFTC publication that isolates Index Traders on selected agricultural contracts. It is not the Disaggregated Other Reportables residual, which mixes index flows with other unclassified reportable traders.

Limitations

CIT coverage is limited to the agricultural contracts the CFTC includes in the Supplemental report. The composite averages Net/OI across contracts with different open-interest scales. Treat the chart as context for passive-flow positioning, not investment advice.

How this benchmark is used

Passive commodity-flow concentration

When index-trader net positions are large and uniform across all three contracts, the passive buyer base is concentrated, a setup that has coincided with trend persistence in agricultural futures and with sharper reversals when the index flows rebalance.

Frequently asked questions

4 answers
What is the current agricultural index-trader crowding?

As of 4 August 2026, the latest reading is 13.74 % of OI. That is up 1.0 pp over the past year and below its long-run median of 20.69 % of OI.

How often is this benchmark updated?

This benchmark is built on weekly data. The page is refreshed when the source publishes new observations; the freshness block below the chart shows the exact data-through date and when PIER20 last fetched the file.

What data sources does this chart use?

The chart is built from Index-trader crowding, Corn, Wheat and Soybeans, sourced from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report.

How is this different from Managed Money positioning?

Managed money is the speculative cohort (hedge funds, CTAs) on our contract pages, and it trades directionally. This page isolates the official Index Trader cohort from the Supplemental CIT report, which is long-biased and benchmark-driven.

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