Benchmark · daily · indexed (100 = shared start)

Equal-weight vs cap-weight

Is market breadth narrowing, or is the average stock beating the giants?

The equal-weight vs cap-weight benchmark compares the S&P 500 equal-weight ETF (RSP) with the S&P 500 cap-weight ETF (SPY), both rebased to 100 at their shared start. Because both hold the same 500 companies, the spread isolates the weighting effect alone: an RSP line above SPY means the average stock is beating the largest constituents, a sign of broad market participation rather than mega-cap concentration.
Readingsdaily
Equal vs cap
−3.5%
11 Aug 2026
1Y change
+0.3 pp
from −3.8%
Widest
+32.2%
6 Apr 2015
Narrowest
−8.4%
14 May 2026
Percentile of spread
3rd
since 1 May 2003
Equal-weight vs cap-weight
Equal − cap-3.5%
Data through 11 Aug 2026
-500.00.00500.01,0001,500May 2003Dec 2007Aug 2012Apr 2017Dec 2021Aug 2026
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP)
Cap-weight S&P 500 (SPY)
Equal-weight vs cap-weight: summary statistics (Max range)
SeriesFirstLatestMinMax
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP)100.01238.686.61238.6
Cap-weight S&P 500 (SPY)100.01283.682.61286.4
Source
Yahoo Finance
Series
RSPSPY
Frequency
daily
Data through
11 Aug 2026
Refreshed
11 Aug 2026
Copy as markdown

How this is calculated

Formula
RSP and SPY adjusted close indexed to 100 at the shared start

RSP (S&P 500 equal-weight) and SPY (S&P 500 cap-weight), both daily, rebased to 100 at their shared start. Uses split- and dividend-adjusted close. RSP above SPY means the equal-weighted basket is winning: the average member is beating the largest constituents, a sign of broad participation rather than mega-cap concentration.

As of 11 Aug 2026, the Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) line stands at 1238.6 and the Cap-weight S&P 500 (SPY) line at 1283.6 (both base = 100 at the shared start). The Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) line is up 23.0% over the past year and above its long-run median of 353.0.

How to read it

What a positive or negative spread means

When RSP runs above SPY, the average S&P 500 member is beating the index's largest weights, which historically signals broad participation and a healthy internal market. When SPY leads, returns are concentrated in the mega-caps that dominate the cap-weighted index, the dominant pattern through the 2010s and 2020s tech-leadership era. The current spread is negative but narrow.

Why equal-weight and cap-weight of the same index

RSP and SPY hold identical constituents (the S&P 500) but weight them differently: SPY by market capitalisation, which concentrates in the largest names; RSP equally, which gives every member a fixed 0.2% weight. Comparing the two isolates the pure weighting effect with no sector or size noise, making this the cleanest possible measure of how concentrated index leadership is.

Limitations

Equal-weighting tilts toward smaller-cap and more cyclical names within the S&P 500, so RSP outperformance overlaps with small-cap and value outperformance and is not a pure 'concentration' measure. RSP also has higher turnover and transaction costs from quarterly rebalancing. The window begins in May 2003, missing the late-1990s cap-weighted concentration peak. Treat the chart as context for market breadth, not investment advice.

Historical extremes

On the rebased scale (100 at May 2003), RSP has risen to roughly 1,188 while SPY sits near 1,228, so cap-weight leads by roughly 3 percentage points over the full window despite the average stock having led for much of the post-crisis recovery. Cap-weight pulled ahead decisively after 2017 as mega-cap technology came to dominate the S&P 500, and the spread has remained narrow but negative through the AI-driven rally.

How this benchmark is used

Market breadth and concentration diagnosis

Strategists and market technicians use the equal-cap spread as the definitive gauge of internal market breadth. A widening cap-weight lead signals narrow mega-cap leadership and weak breadth, the condition that preceded the 2000-2002 and 2022 drawdowns; a widening equal-weight lead signals healthy broad participation.

Active-management opportunity assessment

Active large-cap managers typically outperform the cap-weighted S&P 500 during equal-weight leadership, because their diversified portfolios behave more like RSP than SPY. Performance consultants use the spread to explain active-versus-passive tracking and to identify regimes where active management has a structural tailwind.

Mega-cap tech concentration risk monitoring

Risk managers and allocators use the spread, alongside the Nasdaq-vs-broad-market benchmark, to gauge how exposed the S&P 500 is to a handful of mega-cap technology names. A sustained negative spread with widening Nasdaq leadership is the standard signature of concentration risk building in passive cap-weighted exposure.

Frequently asked questions

7 answers
What is the current equal-weight vs cap-weight?

As of 11 Aug 2026, the Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) line stands at 1238.6 and the Cap-weight S&P 500 (SPY) line at 1283.6 (both base = 100 at the shared start). The Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) line is up 23.0% over the past year and above its long-run median of 353.0.

How often is this benchmark updated?

This benchmark is built on daily data. The page is refreshed when the source publishes new observations; the freshness block below the chart shows the exact data-through date and when PIER20 last fetched the file.

What data sources does this chart use?

The chart is built from Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) and Cap-weight S&P 500 (SPY), sourced from Yahoo Finance.

Has the average stock beaten the largest stocks over this window?

No, narrowly. Since May 2003 the RSP line has risen to roughly 1,188 while the SPY line sits near 1,228, so cap-weight leads equal-weight by roughly 3 percentage points. The average stock led for much of the post-crisis recovery, but cap-weight pulled ahead decisively after 2017 as mega-cap technology came to dominate the S&P 500.

What does the equal minus cap spread mean?

The summary callout measures how much the RSP line has outperformed (positive) or underperformed (negative) the SPY line over the selected window, expressed as a percentage. A positive reading means the average S&P 500 stock is beating the index's largest weights; a negative reading means mega-cap concentration is doing the work.

Why do RSP and SPY hold the same stocks but perform differently?

Both ETFs hold the 500 S&P constituents, but SPY weights them by market cap, so Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia and the other mega-caps dominate. RSP gives every constituent a fixed equal weight, so a 1% move in a small S&P member moves the index as much as a 1% move in Apple. When mega-caps outperform the average, SPY beats RSP even though they hold the same names.

How is this different from large caps vs small caps?

Large vs small compares two different index universes (S&P 500 vs Russell 2000), isolating the size factor across different constituent sets. Equal vs cap compares two different weightings of the same S&P 500 constituents, isolating intra-index concentration. The two can diverge: equal-weight can beat cap-weight even when large caps beat small caps, if the average large cap is beating its own mega-caps.

Related benchmarks

MarkdownMachine-readable version of this benchmark

Run one idea in minutes.

One tested idea, through the evidence stack. No migration of any kind.

Run one idea
Film: return to water